Oregon vs Colorado 10/22/2011

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 95% of simulations over Colorado. Bryan Bennett is averaging 178 passing yards and 2.13 TDs per simulation and Kenjon Barner is projected for 110 rushing yards and a 82% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 5% of simulations where Colorado wins, Tyler Hansen averages 1.62 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 0.89 interceptions. Tony Jones averages 73 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Colorado wins and 66 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is COL +31 --- Over/Under line is 64

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